Predict

Tell me what is likely, and how sure you are.

A forecast from your own history, with the range around it. Never one number dressed up as a fact.

Rice on hand in 3 weeks

325bags

80% range 284 bags to 366 bags

Expected below your reorder level of 150 bags on 29 Aug, before the next delivery.

Actual Forecast 80% range

Reading the range

The range is the forecast. The line is just its middle.

Rice on hand in three weeks, from the example above. Eight times in ten it lands inside the range.

Plan for

284 bags

Low end of the 80% range

Most likely

325 bags

The middle of the range

Could reach

366 bags

High end of the 80% range

How it works

Built on the same history your Watch gauges learn from.

  • From your history

    Fitted to this metric, not industry averages.

  • Re-run on schedule

    Each run folds in the newest data.

  • Kept with its date

    So it can be checked when that day comes.

  • Speaks when it turns

    Emails when the outlook needs attention.

The accuracy record

Every forecast is scored. The misses stay.

When a forecast’s date arrives, Analux checks it against what happened and keeps the result on the gauge. No hit rate until there is something to score.

Accuracy recordExample
Week of 3 AugInside range
Week of 10 AugInside range
Week of 17 AugBelow range
Week of 24 AugInside range

Know where the month is heading before it gets there.

Connect a history of stock counts, orders or balances, and ask for the outlook in a sentence.